Solar Maximum and Solar Minimum

Solar Maximum 2012

Solar Maximum

The solar storm works in approximately an 11 year cycle. There is solar minimum (the least amount of solar storm) and solar maximum (the greatest amount). The last solar maximum was in 2001 and the last solar minimus was in 2006. The next solar max is predicted for 2012.

An article was published on NASA’s website in 2006 (during the last solar minimum) titled Solar Storm Warning . This article by Science@NASA’s Dr. Tony Philips explains that the 2012 solar max will be the greatest since 1958 (when the Northern Lights were visible in Mexico).

“The next sunspot cycle will be 30% to 50% stronger than the previous one.” Mausumi Dikpati of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)

The solar maximum image credit is to Lockheed Martin Solar & Astrophysics Lab, Yohkoh SXT and Kitt Peak National Solar Observatory.

The Solar Storm Warning article was published by NASA and is still on the nasa.gov website.  This article is quoted en masse by just about every believer in 2012 as being scientific evidence of a catastrophe. The article certainly doesn’t say anything about catastrophe – just potential problems with modern electronics and satellites that were non-existent during the last large solar max in 1958.  Cell phones and GPS are probably in for a tough ride.

However, NASA cannot shirk the responsibility for having perpetuated a little bit of the 2012 phenomenon – even though it was unintentional and probably unavoidable.

That was 2006 and now we are in 2011 and still waiting for the solar max to arrive.

2012 Solar Max

So what does all this have to do with 2012 and Mayan Predictions?

The Mayan Long Count Calendar ends in December of 2012 after over 5,000 years.  In 1966 Dr Michael Coe said that the end of the Mayan calendar may coincide with Armageddon. Since that time, people have argued back and forth about what the ending of the Mayan calendar means.  Some say Armageddon and disaster and others say rebirth and renewal and still others say that the end of the Mayan calendar means absolutely nothing.

Many who believe in the doomsday theory have combined the ending of the Mayan calendar with quotes from Nostradamus and, yes, even the 2012 solar maximum.

One expert quoted in the 2006 article said that the solar max may come earlier – even in 2010 or 2011.  If that had happened, then there would not be as much talk about the 2012 solar maximum.  However, Mausumi Dikpati of the National Center for Atmospheric Research has said all along that the solar max would arrive in 2012.

NASA 2012 Solar Storm

There is another article from nasa.gov that claims that new experts now believe the next solar maximum to be as late as 2013 and to be relatively weak.  Isn’t that convenient?

This second article, New Solar Cycle Prediction, comes from 2009 and is after all the attention was brought down on the 2012 date.  The second article decides not to quote any of the experts from the first article and even includes a handy graph.

Both articles from 2006 and 2009 do state that the solar storm is still mostly unknown and unpredictable.

I will tell you what I think:

  1. The first article was honest.  It did not claim any disasters, just predicted a 2012 Solar Max for the ages.  I sincerely doubt the author knew he was about to open Pandora’s box.
  2. The second article is NASA bowing to pressure.  I think you can always find a second expert to disagree with your first expert.

So, is NASA lying?  When I first started researching this post that you are reading now, I thought NASA was lying through their teeth because they looked stupid for inadvertently promoting the 2012 doomsday theory.  Now… I still think that.  However, it may be possible that NASA truly does not know what the hell is going to happen during the solar maximum or when it is going to actually occur.  Remember, we have not had a major solar storm since 1958 (the same year that the US launched their first satellite.)

Well, what do you think about the solar max?  I hope you at least found this post enjoyable.  Please recommend this article on Facebook and Twitter and leave me a comment below – I will answer it very quickly.

For now, here is the coolest video I could find on the solar maximum:

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